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  1. #1

    Default Where is the southbound bubble???

    Hello!

    I was planning on completing a thru hike this year but had to get off the trail due to an illness in July. I was planning on getting back on around Harper's Ferry and head SOBO next week to knock out another 700 miles before to year is over.

    I know there isn't technically a southbound bubble, but does anyone know if the larger concentration of southbound hikers have already pasted this point or where they're at now?

    Thanks so much – happy hiking!

  2. #2
    Registered User Engine's Avatar
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    By this point, the south bounders are spread pretty thin, it would be hard to call any section of them a "concentration". But, I would think you could catch the middle of the string between Harpers Ferry and Shenandoah about now.
    “He is richest who is content with the least, for content is the wealth of nature.” –Socrates

  3. #3

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    Here is a table showing typical progress from a study of SOBO completers who journaled at trailjournals.com (Engine's estimate of somewhere between Harpers Ferry and Waynesboro right now is right on the money):

    Med. Date.....Mean Date..........Landmark
    June 23.............June 24..............Katahdin
    July 8................July 10...............Stratton
    July 20..............July 21................Gorham
    Aug. 1...............July 31...............Glencliff
    Aug. 21.............Aug. 23...............Kent
    Aug. 31.............Sept. 4................Delaware Water Gap
    Sept. 14............Sept. 20..............Harpers Ferry
    Sept. 24............Sept. 30..............Waynesboro
    Oct. 17..............Oct. 23...............Damascus
    Nov. 11.............Nov. 12...............Fontana
    Nov. 21.............Nov. 23...............Springer
    Life Member: ATC, ALDHA, Superior Hiking Trail Association

  4. #4
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    I talked to the people at Standing Bear last night and they had 16 hikers on Thursday. No breakdown into sobo/section/nobo etc.

  5. #5
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    Map Man - very interesting table there - did you find that on TJ or I guess the better question for me is - do you have one for 2016 NOBO's? Realizing most are done - I'd just be interested in seeing past progressions.

  6. #6
    Registered User LoneRidgeRunner's Avatar
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    Default Where is the southbound bubble???

    Last couple years I been doing sections in western NC north of the Smokies and being meeting SOBO thrus in this area from late October into November and a few even in early December. The highest numbers have been in late October and November.

  7. #7
    Registered User SawnieRobertson's Avatar
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    What would we do without you, Map Man? Bravo!
    Quote Originally Posted by map man View Post
    Here is a table showing typical progress from a study of SOBO completers who journaled at trailjournals.com (Engine's estimate of somewhere between Harpers Ferry and Waynesboro right now is right on the money):

    Med. Date.....Mean Date..........Landmark
    June 23.............June 24..............Katahdin
    July 8................July 10...............Stratton
    July 20..............July 21................Gorham
    Aug. 1...............July 31...............Glencliff
    Aug. 21.............Aug. 23...............Kent
    Aug. 31.............Sept. 4................Delaware Water Gap
    Sept. 14............Sept. 20..............Harpers Ferry
    Sept. 24............Sept. 30..............Waynesboro
    Oct. 17..............Oct. 23...............Damascus
    Nov. 11.............Nov. 12...............Fontana
    Nov. 21.............Nov. 23...............Springer
    You never know just what you can do until you realize you absolutely have to do it.
    --Salaun

  8. #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by b-square View Post
    Map Man - very interesting table there - did you find that on TJ or I guess the better question for me is - do you have one for 2016 NOBO's? Realizing most are done - I'd just be interested in seeing past progressions.
    Here is the one for NOBOs (it's an article here at WB and Table 3 has the progression):

    http://whiteblaze.net/forum/content....ion-by-Section

    Here is the article for SOBOs. The progression is in the last comment on the article:

    http://whiteblaze.net/forum/content....T-Hiking-Rates

    There are a lot of interesting articles here at WB full of useful information but they are not as easy to find as they used to be (some have also been cut). They can be accessed over in the left-hand column of the home page under the heading, "Departments."
    Last edited by map man; 09-24-2016 at 18:09.
    Life Member: ATC, ALDHA, Superior Hiking Trail Association

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    Of course mapman is a god but I think there are many bubbles in the tail.
    I hiked nobo to Franconia Notch, NH on Thursday 9/22 million and saw several hopeful sobos.
    Go slow or go nobo and you will see lots of sobos.

  10. #10
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    Million = nobo to Tim Cookies.

  11. #11
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    Mapman, thanks! Your info/stats will definitely help me in my sobo planning.
    humor is the gadfly on the corpse of tragedy

  12. #12
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    I have been seeing 3/5 Southbound thur hikers a day somewher between
    Bland & Daleville,over the last month or so. In that time frame I have been out around 15 days.

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  13. #13
    Registered User Capt.Scott's Avatar
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    I just hiked SOBO thru MA/ CT into NY. Around 9/11 met SOBOs going fast with deadlines. Later I came across what I believe was the tail end of SOBOers and hiked with them into NY. I am also trying to figure when these hikers that I met will be in VA.

  14. #14
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    Just saw "midwest" working south at Rock Spring shelter in SNP.
    Plaid is fast! Ticks suck, literally... It’s ok, bologna hoses off…
    Follow my hiking adventures: https://www.youtube.com/user/KrizAkoni
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